Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 3.556936 4.191655 4.930947 5.861673 7.010545 8.393165 10.199533
2024-12-22 2.570554 3.333459 4.332259 5.759834 7.788144 10.629891 15.029053
2024-12-29 2.102956 2.896288 4.015622 5.755821 8.479286 12.733581 20.214649
2025-01-05 1.772349 2.555097 3.724874 5.668022 8.956511 14.581508 25.628228
2025-01-12 1.578178 2.367827 3.609359 5.798475 9.780124 17.201962 33.444630
2025-01-19 1.381722 2.139883 3.381419 5.679717 10.118429 19.021371 40.455537
2025-01-26 1.307253 2.094234 3.440633 6.069293 11.497171 23.334108 55.225869
2025-02-02 1.223181 2.017787 3.430170 6.320908 12.661957 27.604494 72.450294
2025-02-09 1.156599 1.961081 3.443582 6.618306 14.005769 32.816066 95.935593
2025-02-16 1.076011 1.867278 3.370917 6.719061 14.923995 37.318000 120.654834
2025-02-23 1.009449 1.790692 3.319372 6.853845 15.965861 42.624008 153.024089
2025-03-02 0.925814 1.670989 3.163270 6.719074 16.270982 45.867625 180.135749
2025-03-09 0.869894 1.610617 3.145837 6.973112 17.919582 55.012429 250.012266
2025-03-16 0.785945 1.485311 2.975668 6.831305 18.450716 60.953544 315.797416
2025-03-23 0.723852 1.396220 2.869586 6.827393 19.415847 69.339137 415.366402
2025-03-30 0.663335 1.302290 2.736789 6.719672 20.012441 76.765214 528.408043
2025-04-06 0.625815 1.253442 2.701938 6.879663 21.629957 90.426052 741.655601
2025-04-13 0.576151 1.171211 2.573101 6.734012 22.071121 98.731130 935.536263
2025-04-20 0.562277 1.168717 2.642466 7.212259 25.219504 125.719252 1520.739939
2025-04-27 0.541020 1.146131 2.656476 7.521822 27.865407 153.485750 2362.159216
2025-05-04 0.523332 1.129762 2.684270 7.888370 31.015870 189.979921 3849.687182
2025-05-11 0.497784 1.091019 2.644812 8.012710 33.107337 222.157866 5802.075032
2025-05-18 0.475779 1.058576 2.618136 8.179169 35.557134 262.666634 9142.176314